Showing posts with label slv. Show all posts
Showing posts with label slv. Show all posts

Monday, March 16, 2009

Wrap up and Review

As discussed in previous post...

Sprint (S): Re-purchased Sprint (S) at close for $3.59 and MACD shows bullish divergence on 5 and 20 minute charts.

BMC opened long near end of day for $28.97 with strong MACD and near low of day.

AXP opened a short near the day's high and rode it for 40 cents and nice profit.  

IBM and RIG both sold near high of day for profit.  may re-enter at some point.

TJX still watching for an entry.

FCX and SLV and GLD are holds.

MS is now oversold, but I did not buy it yet.

FXA and FXC: Australian and Canadian dollar ETF's were opened long to diversify my fairly large cash holdings with US dollar in the overbought area.  Yes, cash is a holding.




Thursday, March 12, 2009

"Six percent rallies don't happen in bull markets."

...and that is directly quoted from Macroman.  Well, we'll just have to see about that.
Or, for Rambo fans: "Nothing is over."

Needless to say, I took some profits.  First, let's go to the charts:

IBM looks good for a long here.  Very good price movement and has formed a classic double bottom.  Conservative traders should look for a breakout above 89.50 to get serious.







SLV long. You either love precious metals or hate 'em.  I just decided to keep 5-10% of my trading portfolio in this sector and split it equally between GLD and SLV.  No emotion, no fallout bunker, no ammo, no SPAM.  When they get above the regression line, I sell some; when they get below, I buy some.  It works for me.



Sprint (S) is a nice pattern for a long position.  This is snugging up to overhead resistance should break through one of these times.  Could double.  Use the lower trend line for a sell-stop.







MRVL has been reviewed before as a long candidate.  Like a wimp, I got stopped out in the past-- which is further evidence of Teresa lo's advice not to set stops too tight.  Any pullback in this could be a buying opportunity, but this could just run away from here.  CY also is a strong chart.





While I remain skeptical by nature and I have no trust in the bull thesis here, I could not find any classis short set-ups.  AXP, COF, FRX and CEG all look like decent shorts, but not outstanding.  I sold half my FCX in the pop, but will add it back with any pullbacks... I still think it's going to $40 or beyond.  MS, likewise, was sold for a gain. 



Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Tuesday Recap and a look ahead

The bloodbath was impressive and gave me pause on entering any long positions at all.   But since I presented a few stocks I went ahead and got some CY at $5.09 and even went commando and went long FCX at 27.64 which was not a good price and one I may regret.  MS dropped so preciptously that it broke the support that I had mentioned, so I never opened that position.

The short side is working much better.  AVB continues it's descent into hell, and I did not short the other REIT, VTR, due to the gap down open.  I chased BBBY a little and sold it short at 21.34 for the next leg down.

Of course, GLD and SLV are the place to be and those are still being held.

The stink of blood still lingers and Asian markets are down as I write this.  No end is in sight for this free fall, but the futures point up at the moment and we should stay vigilant since we all know how violent bear market rallies can be.  Eric is predicting no bounce until Thursday at the earliest and more likely Monday.